CAO Zhengjiang, FU Wenlong, WEN Bin, et al. Prediction Method of Dissolved Gas Volume Fraction in Transformer Oil Based on TVFEMD and Multi-model Fusion[J]. High voltage apparatus, 2024, 60(8): 156-166.
DOI:
CAO Zhengjiang, FU Wenlong, WEN Bin, et al. Prediction Method of Dissolved Gas Volume Fraction in Transformer Oil Based on TVFEMD and Multi-model Fusion[J]. High voltage apparatus, 2024, 60(8): 156-166. DOI: 10.13296/j.1001-1609.hva.2024.08.019.
Prediction Method of Dissolved Gas Volume Fraction in Transformer Oil Based on TVFEMD and Multi-model Fusion
Dissolved gas analysis in oil can reflect the operation status of transformer. The accurate prediction of volume fraction of the dissolved gas can provide theoretical support for discrimination and warning of early fault of the transformer. Therefore
a prediction method of dissolved gas volume fraction in transformer oil based on time varying filter empirical mode decomposition and multi-model fusion is proposed. Firstly
the gas volume traction sequence is decomposed into multiple sub-sequences by time varying filter empirical mode decomposition to reduce its non-stationarity. Then
the multi-model fusion strategy is used to fuse and reconstruct the prediction results of four different single models. Since the weight coefficient of single model has a significant impact on the prediction results
the improved slime mold algorithm is used to optimize the weight coefficient to improve the prediction accuracy. Finally
it is shown through calculation variation that the proposed method
compared to traditional prediction model
has higher prediction accuracy
and can better predict the variation trend of gas volume fraction in the oil.